Business and consumer power delivering positive climate action.

1.2 billion people displaced due to climate change by 2050: New IEP Report

Share this article on your social networks.

A new report states that certain nations that are more vulnerable to ecological threats than others and that over a billion people are at risk of being displaced within 30 years as a result of a combination of rapid population growth and the climate crisis. These factors are bound to fuel an increase in migration which will have huge consequences for both developed and developing nations.

The IEP, Institute for Economics and Peace, which is a think tank that publishes yearly global peace and terrorism indexes, reports that 1.2 billion people lived in 31 countries that were not resilient enough to withstand ecological threats.

19 of those countries seem to be facing the highest number of threats, which include food and water shortages, and increased natural disaster exposure. Those countries also happen to be amongst the globe’s 40 least peaceful countries, according to the IEP’s inaugural threat register.

Uganda, Burkina Faso, Angola and Nigeria are among the countries not only most at risk from ecological threats but are also predicted to see massive population growth, which could further fuel mass displacements.

The report stated that this is bound displacement would have far-reaching political and social implications, not only in the developing world but also in the developed world. This is down to the fact that mass displacement would cause an increase in refugee flows to the most developed of nations, according to the institute’s founder, Steve Killelea.

Ecological threats can pose serious challenges to peace worldwide. The next 30 years could see reduced access to water and food which will undoubtedly increase if there is no urgent coordinated global action. The world could see an increase in conflict, riots, and civil unrest if action is not taken.

The study in question utilised data from the United Nations, among others, to assess 157 nations’ exposure to 8 ecological threats. It then assessed the nations’ capacity to resist them. It discovered that 141 countries would face at least 1 ecological threat in the next 30 years, with North Africa, the Middle East, South Asia, and sub-Saharan Africa regions facing the largest number of ecological threats.

Certain countries such as China and India are threatened mostly by water scarcity, while others like Mozambique, Madagascar, Kenya, Iran and Pakistan face a mix of threats and are increasingly growing incapable of dealing with them.

The report also stated that a dearth of resilience could cause food insecurity to worsen, thereby causing mass displacement and civil unrest to increase.

Pakistan has been judged to be the nation with the largest number of people at risk of mass migration, with Iran and Ethiopia following closely behind. The latter two nations are even more prone to climate change, as even small natural disasters and ecological threats could cause the population to be displaced.

More developed and wealthier regions in North America and Europe face fewer ecological threats and they are better prepared to cope, however, the majority of them are not immune from wider impacts. Only 16 countries, including Ireland, Iceland, Norway and Sweden faced no threats.

The report also stated that there was 60% less freshwater available than there was 50 years ago and the demand for food is estimated to rise by half over 30 years. Given that the climate crisis is bound to increase the frequency of natural disasters, the report estimates that stable nations might become vulnerable in 30 years.

Related Posts

BreakingBoundaries
The most important scientific discovery of our time: NetFlix

Netflix states that the film, just released, centres around David Attenborough and Swedish Professor Johan Rockström’s research and records “the most important scientific discovery of our time.

Read More
climaterulings
4 Massive Climate Rulings Prove that Big Oil, Gas & Coal Are Running Out Of Hiding Places

3 global fossil fuel giants have been on the end of embarrassing rebukes over their inaction or inadequate action on …

Read More
net_zero_carbon
New IEA report gives meaning to Net Zero – five key insights

The IEA has released its long-awaited roadmap highlighting how the globe’s energy sector could slash its planet-heating emissions to net zero in 30 years

Read More
Methane emissions
Lowering Methane Emissions Is The Fastest Way To Slow Global Heating- UN Report

The new UN report discovered that methane emissions can be halved by 2030 with existing technology and at a reasonable cost. A large proportion of the actions involved will actually make money

Read More
netzero
Increasing Climate Change Promises are Moving the Needle

Recent and increasing promises concerning climate change made by major countries could bring the earth a fraction closer to the possibility of a more stable climate.

Read More
yosemite
Shocking results for nature’s climate change resilience – Retracing a century old wild life survey

When Berkely researchers following in the steps of Joseph Grinnell, a biologist who over a century ago developed a pioneering …

Read More
ironmanvsclimatechange
Tech billionaires’ Ironman approach to climate change vs. planting trees

3 of the 5 richest individuals in the world, are all aiming to create new technologies which can lower the world’s carbon emissions and fight climate change. What are the options?

Read More
climateaction 100plus
World First Net Zero Company Benchmark of the World’s Largest Corporate Emitters

Climate Action 100+, a $54 trillion investor coalition, released a report that evaluated several companies’ climate change performance.

Read More
why do we need to conserve resources
74% of Economists Says Net Zero Actions are Economically Desirable

The majority of the international climate economists polled in February stated they had become increasingly concerned about climate change over the past 5 years

Read More